W.A. cyclone

Submitted: Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 17:58
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Time to start getting ready for a cat 1 cyclone/storm on Sunday Morning predicted land fall around Bunbury 11AM, clean up all your loose items, and get prepared. Just been listening to some young guys on the UHF and they think it is a big joke.
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Reply By: kevmac....(WA) - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:04

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:04
down here in Albany can tell something gonna happen coz of the hight temp and humidity.................
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Follow Up By: Member - Matt L (WA) - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:10

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:10
Hi Kevmac, in Bunvagis it is 36/37 degs and about 90% humidity, not real good at the moment.
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Reply By: Member - Barry H (WA) - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:11

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:11
Matt L,

Cyclone near Bunbury, are you sure, I think that would be a first since maybe "Alby" back in 79. What gives with the weather lately, floods, fires and now a cyclone.

Welcome to OZ.

Barry H
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Follow Up By: Member - Matt L (WA) - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:17

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:17
Hi Barry, go to Weather Zone and look up Cyclones /W.A. and you will find out for your self.
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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:18

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:18
Maybe it is coming back to what it use to Barry H, I remember in 1974 a cyclone going through Busselton, our son was in hospital at the time (about 13-14 months old) and we had to help evacuate the hospital into the nurses quarters across the road. I well remember Alby too. Told my Hubby last night that I felt it was coming down this way. Nature told me so LOL


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Follow Up By: Member - John and Val - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:28

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:28
Hi Barry,

Have a look here

Its as certain as a weather forecast!

Cheers,

Val
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Follow Up By: member - mazcan - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:58

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:58
hi guys
the lastest map and track shows it's going to cross the coast on sunday at dawesville as cat 1 but that depends on whether it drops from cat 4 or stays at cat 4 longer than predicted next 15 to 20 hrs will be interesting
cyclone alby was april 1978and this one is very simular in trength etc
might have to nail one's hat to the top block
cheers
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Reply By: Member - DAZA (QLD) - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:29

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:29
Qld is on cyclone alert as well, they reckon it might hit land between Cairns and Bowen early next week and a more severe one is gathering strength near Fiji which is heading on a path to Qld, might move to Tassie.

Cheers
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Reply By: Hairs & Fysh - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:54

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 18:54
Image Could Not Be Found
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
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Reply By: Member - Redbakk (WA) - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 19:11

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 19:11
Getting ready in Australind.........hope its a fissog. old phantom saying)
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Reply By: landseka - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 19:35

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 19:35
We survived a glancing blow with minor damage from the tornado in '05 so I'm sure a bit of a blow & a shower won't hurt this weekend.

We really need the rain but the wind can stay away.

Weatherzone is still only predicting 5 - 10mm on Saturday and 1 - 5mm on Sunday for Bunbury. Go figure.

Cheers (from the storm cellar lol)

Neil
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Follow Up By: rocco2010 - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 19:45

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 19:45
Gidday

The Bureau of Meteorology warning says the heavy rain will be to the south of the cyclone's path so it looks like being mostly wind ... I remember Alby (which was April 78, not 79) being mostly wind in Perth. And being the start of the burning off season it turned a lot of farmers' fires in the South-West into major blazes.

Cheers

Rocco
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Follow Up By: Member - Duncan W (WA) - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 20:45

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 20:45
Remember that one we had to drive back from Pingelli to Perth through it, quite an experience with stubble fires everywhere and the car getting sand blasted. Driving through the forest we hit the eye of the cyclone which was quite eerie then got pelted with honky nuts.

Went surfing the next day down at Trigg and the swell was excellent.
Dunc
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Follow Up By: rocco2010 - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 21:38

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 21:38
Hey dunc

Better get that board out again. forecast is 4m swell!

Cheers

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Follow Up By: Member - Matt L (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 09:33

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 09:33
its 6.30 am Sat and we have had our rain you where talking about so (go figure that)
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Follow Up By: landseka - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 09:44

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 09:44
6.42 in Bunbury and it is just starting to spit with a bit of thunder. Bring it on!

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Follow Up By: Motherhen - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:25

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:25
Raining here now GRRRR
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Follow Up By: landseka - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:27

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:27
Donnybrook just got 5mm MH!

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Follow Up By: Motherhen - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:31

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:31
Hi landseka

If we get 5 mls today, we will have got more rain in January than we got in any month last winter. We already have a germination which will die, and with so little seed setting last year, there won't be much left for pasture this year. We have been hand feeding for over 12 months now.

Mh
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Follow Up By: Member - Matt L (WA) - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 23:44

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 23:44
Hi landseka, Lizzyb is looking for you, on up to date post.
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Reply By: Member - Jack - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 20:27

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 20:27
I hope it passes you all by with no damage.

If it is worse, our very blonde Premier probably won't want to help you because we are all a bit stretched financially over here at the moment, apparently.

Stay safe.

Jack

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Reply By: Motherhen - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 20:47

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 20:47
Our biggest floods on the Blackwood River have been from cyclonic rains in January or February.
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Reply By: ExplorOz - David & Michelle - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 21:48

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 21:48
No joke... our City of Perth Olympic Distance Triathlon that we are planning to race on Sunday is likely to be cancelled.... fine with me, I haven't been training to surfing the Swan River!

Good luck to everyone else in Southern WA and hopefully we all make it through the weekend unscathed.
MM
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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:55

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:55
Our Son In-law is in the Triathlon on Sunday, or should I say 'was'.

Cheers

D


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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 13:28

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 13:28
Ooops, reading that again, wrong triathlon, soooory.
Cheers

D


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Follow Up By: Tonyfish#58 - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 09:18

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 09:18
Not looking like Perth is getting much rain again this morning, also appears that it may have broken up :-)

I was at Cottesloe Golf Club in 75 when the below Cyclone hit

Vida, 20 March 1975 Winds, recorded to 128 km/h at Fremantle and 109 km/h in Perth damaged many properties including St George's Cathedral and Perry Lakes Stadium. At Rockingham a 7 m yacht sank, a 6m cabin cruiser was destroyed and many other craft were damaged.

A mate and I were picking up Golf Balls on the range as the winds were howling - we were having a ball - Hitting full blooded drives up in to the wind and have them land back over our heads. Boy that was fun

That was until the roof blew off the Golf Club, we then thought it was time to get back into safety :-)

Cheers tony

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Reply By: Drew - Karratha - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 22:25

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 22:25
After living in Karratha for a number of years - it is a strange feeling to be now living near Bunbury and still doing cyclone cleanups...
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Follow Up By: Motherhen - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:25

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:25
Our son and d.i.l have recently moved from the Pilbara - daughter said Bianca didn't find them there so has come looking for 'em.

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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:56

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:56
LOL, now we all have to clean up because of that???????? LOL

Cheers

Deanna


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Reply By: Gotlost - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:30

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:30
i can vouch for Cyclone Bianca here in Exmouth, i would take it seriously, it was a Cat 3 when it sailed passed here, the eye was probably about 195km north of us, we had about 120 kph winds, the trees in my garden got a good shake, finished cleaning up this arvo, have lived here now for 9 years so have some experience, if any good comes of it has it hits land would be if Perth and surrounding areas got a decent soaking, we only got about between 30 and 40mil of rain, i see Mardie Station recieved 191mils, Karratha also recieved some useful rain.

Cheers
Mark
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Reply By: Muntoo - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:51

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:51
Hahahaha, dont believe those forecast tracking maps. Seen how many times they change. The cold water will tear it into a low and will be rain and thats it. Moved way too quick to build up any power.


You will all be ok.
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Follow Up By: stumbly1 - Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:56

Friday, Jan 28, 2011 at 23:56
rain is more than welcome. Just not too much...
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Follow Up By: skmaint (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:26

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:26
Time will tell I suppose, Have been through Vance not taking any chances.
They are not always corrrect but they are at times.

Cheers
Simon
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Follow Up By: Road Warrior - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:30

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:30
Well it's now a category 4 so I think it's best to err on the side of caution...
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Follow Up By: Member - edwin (QLD) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 02:52

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 02:52
agree with muntoo, definitely wont be a cyclone by the time it gets to land,the ocean is too cold to maintain its intensity ,sure will bring some much needed rain to the area though,, and a bit of wind,,,,nothing like the queensland central coast is gunna cop this week!!
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Reply By: Member - Stuart P (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:21

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:21
the fire danger points to a greater risk than this hit and miss huff and puff
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Follow Up By: Gobumpy - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:33

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:33
yep we setting up in case of fires
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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:00

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:00
That is the worry I feel, we have got through bad storms before but if there isn't much rain the possible fires is a real threat, and heaven help us if the firebugs decide to have a field day.

Cheers

D


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Follow Up By: Motherhen - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:28

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:28
That shower of rain will negate fire risk now.
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Reply By: Member - Phil 'n Jill (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:35

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:35
There was one cyclone which bumped its way down the coast from the Kimberley (circa 1969 or early 1970) and around past Carnarvon over a week or so in transit without doing much damage for a change - until it crossed the coast just above Geraldton, stirred us up in Mullewa a fair bit then whipped inland swinging back around into Southern Cross doing extensive damage before petering out - it probably covered as much distance in 24 hours once it crossed the coast as it had for the week prior - it fairly moved.

Stretching the memory some now, but that one stands out just by the change of pace and the damage so far inland.

Rain indeed would be useful - in moderation....

cheers - Phil
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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:04

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:04
I remember a cyclone which went through Mullewa when I was a kid, it would have been mid 50s as I recall, 55 or 56 I think. We left Mullewa just after it, came down South and the kids on the school bus down here were talking of big floods that had hit the area a few months before.

Cheers

D


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Follow Up By: Motherhen - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:35

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:35
Hi D, We had flooding of the Blackwood River around then - may have been 1954. Rain bearing depression from a cyclone dumped heaps into the catchment areas. It was February, and Mum had given Dad a boat kit as a birthday present. So while we were safe but isolated in our house on the hill, there was Dad building a boat on the verandah. All the neighbours were getting nervous "What does Len know that we don't?"

Mh
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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 13:38

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 13:38
Lol Motherhen, that's a funny story. Arrrh the memories........I was only young so it was probably the same one. I remember the Mullewa cyclone well as we (my two sisters, baby brother and I) were on the farm on our own, Mum had taken Dad into hospital in Mullewa as he had got diesel in a sore that he had on his arm, (Diesel poisoning they called it) while they were in there the cyclone hit harder than expected and we were cut off, The cop wouldn't let Mum leave the town and she was beside herself, we were OK though, my older sister was in her early teens so all was well. Just another story of life outside of towns.

Cheers

Deanna


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Follow Up By: Motherhen - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 14:04

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 14:04
Kiddies left home alone? And so the "Cyclone Party" was born LOL
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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 16:24

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 16:24
Hahaha, that's about right, we weren't really scared because I guess we didn't really know the magnitude of it at the time and the possible dangers that could have been. There was a lot of flooding I remember and the neighbours were sent over to check on us as they were the only ones that could get to us because of flooding.
Mum kept in touch with us via the phone and I guess kids in those days were more resilient than nowadays, we took things in our stride, or at least we had to. I think back on what we did in those days and shake my head. Arrrrh the good old days.
Cheers
Deanna


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Reply By: Member - Doug T (NT) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:39

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:39
Track map for Tropical Cyclone Alby 4 April 1978.

Image Could Not Be Found

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Follow Up By: Member - Doug T (NT) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:43

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 00:43
Reading through the posts it gives me the impression many of you think this cannot happen so far South,

READ ON.

Tropical Cyclone Alby passed close to the southwest corner of WA on 4 April 1978 killing five people and causing widespread but mostly minor damage to the southwest. The damage bill was estimated to be $39 million (2003 dollars). One man was blown from the roof of a shed and a woman was killed by a falling pine tree. Another man was killed when a tree fell on the bulldozer he was operating and two men drowned at Albany when their dinghy overturned. Storm surge and large waves caused coastal inundation and erosion from Perth to Busselton. Fires fanned by the very strong winds burned an estimated 114 000 ha of forest and farming land.

Track and Intensity
A low developed on 27 March well north of the state, some 800 km north northwest of Karratha. It moved slowly to the southwest and steadily intensified peaking on 2 April with estimated central pressure of 930 hPa (category 4 intensity) about 850 km west northwest of Carnarvon as shown in figure 1. The satellite image at 6pm (figure 2 (a)) shows a well developed eye and banding structure - distinctive features of a strong tropical cyclone. Alby subsequently turned to the south southeast and accelerated from about 10 km/h to 25 km/h by midnight on the 3rd when it was 750 km west northwest of Geraldton. At about this time the satellite image (figure 2 (b)) showed a weakening in the eye and banding structure around the centre and a broad mass of cloud to the south ahead of a cold front approaching from the southwest. This pattern indicates that Alby was changing into an extra-tropical system.

On the 4th Alby continued to accelerate, being captured by strong upper-level northwest winds. The satellite image at 5 pm (figure 2 (c)) showed a complete absence of storms near the centre and the eastern half the cyclone virtually devoid of cloud. The front had merged with the broad mass of cloud south of the centre. This pattern is very different from that associated with a mature tropical cyclone yet it was still estimated as a category 3 system with a central pressure of 960 hPa. The maintenance of such intensity from the tropics to the mid-latitudes, referred to as 'extra-tropical transition', is explained in detail in Foley and Hanstrum (1994) (see schematic of cyclone undergoing extra-tropical transition). By 9 pm the system eached its closest approach to the mainland about 60 km south of Cape Leeuwin and moving at 80 km/h to the southeast. The centre of the system was 250 km southwest of Perth at its closest. The centre became difficult to locate on the 5th as it moved south of 40°S.

The table below shows the maximum gusts recorded in the South West Land Division during 4 April. Albany recorded the highest gust of 150 km/h while Fremantle registered a gust of 143 km/h. Winds increased abruptly on the 4th as Alby accelerated closer. Gales commenced in Perth city at 2:30 pm and the maximum gust of 130 km/h was the third highest gust recorded at a Perth city site in the record from 1942 to 2004. Gales lasted for almost seven hours at Fremantle, while winds exceeded storm force (90 km/h) for four hours. Gale-force winds were widespread, occurring throughout most of the South West Land Division.

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Follow Up By: wallabyjack5 - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:02

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:02
The man that was killed by being blown off the roof of his shed was an chap from Toodyay in WA.Hi Christian name was Alby.How ironic was that.

Cheers
Glyn
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Follow Up By: stumbly1 - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:03

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:03
I was in Bunbury when Alby hit (well, Picton) just a wee tacker, but I remember driving around town in the days afterwoods with the old man helping out where he could (that car only lasted 3 more years after the salt water). Made a mess in all the low lying areas and even the backbeach foreshore copped a bit of flooding from the storm waves and swell. Bianca looks like she is going for a direct hit - hopefully it calms down to cat 1, but after seeing a few cyclones up here in the Pilbara over the last 7 years they always seem to intensify over water, not decrease.
Best of luck to our southern folk...
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Follow Up By: rocco2010 - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:09

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:09
thanks for the wise counsel Doug,

I read most of the above earlier in the afternoon when i did a bit of digging when the topic of Alby first came up. Brought back a lot of memories of a pretty scary day. I would hate to go through a full blown cyclone up in the Pilbara

it bothers me that some people don't take warnings seriously. Ok It might not happen, but surely it is better to be warned and take precautions than have your caravan or boat blown down the street.

I believe these days that the relevant authorities expect the worst when they issue their warnings. Perhaps they have got tired of being pilloried in the aftermath by the "why wasn't I told" brigade.

In my former life I knew a lot of people in the south-west who were dismissive of "experts". Then Alby blew half the Busselton jetty away ...

Cheers

Rocco

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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:10

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:10
As I said further up I remember Alby well, but there was also one that did cross the coast near Busselton a few years earlier than that, can't remember the name or anything as we had more things on our mind than that. I remember helping to evacuate the old hospital that was down on the beach at the time, we had to wheel patients beds across the road to the nurses quarters, patients who could go home were sent home. Our son was in the hospital at the time, was a bit of a worrying time.

Cheers

D


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Follow Up By: Member - Dunworkin (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:12

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:12
BTW Doug, thanks for the info on that, another history lesson on Friday night.lol. Gota love those history lessons.

Cheers

Deanna


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Follow Up By: Member - Doug T (NT) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:48

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 01:48
Deanna
That would have been Cyclone Ned , 1989

Cyclone NED Track Map

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Follow Up By: Member - John L (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 08:58

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 08:58
Thanks Doug, Love your history research. Cyclones dissipate when they hit the cold (as has been said) but wonder what effect the Leeuwin Current - the WARM band of water just off our coast - will have. We live in Cowaramup and overcast with slight winds this morning at 6am but out to pack up 'flying objects' as went thru 5 or 6 cyclones in the North West in the 60's as well as Alby & Ned downsouth. Cheers Heather
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Follow Up By: Member - edwin (QLD) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 09:52

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 09:52
hi all ,if you check out the b.o.m site and look up cyclones,youll find the heading sea surface temperatures,click on the north west australian part and youll find the leeuwin current is actually no where near as warm as everyone thinks ,the cool sea temp will be a main weakening factor for bianca dropping back to a low pressure system
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Follow Up By: member - mazcan - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:22

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:22
hi doug t
sorry to correct your history but ned1989 was after alby in 1978 the one you probably mean was vida 1975 and
in 1986 we had rhonda
bianca is scheduled to cross the coast at dawsville as a low now at 5pm on sunday
we have had thunder east of bunbury and 1 mm rain has fallen and is still falling so hopefully will help quell the fire danger
cheers
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Follow Up By: Member - Matt L (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:30

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:30
Thanks Doug for the very important info. We are sitting at the end of the barrel. 10 kms North of Bunbury.
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Follow Up By: Member - Phil 'n Jill (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:57

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:57
Hey Doug - that is an awesome website link, thanks.

Amazing just flicking from cyclone to cyclone in chrological order.
One forgets how many wen through our north coastal areas over the years and this site is as good as keeping a diary.

Regrads - Phil
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Follow Up By: Member - Phil 'n Jill (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:14

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:14
Hey Doug - that is an awesome website link, thanks.

Amazing just flicking from cyclone to cyclone in chrological order.
One forgets how many wen through our north coastal areas over the years and this site is as good as keeping a diary.

Regrads - Phil
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Follow Up By: Member - Doug T (NT) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:24

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:24
mazcan
No I did not mean Cyclone Vida or any other Cyclone, Vida did not cross the coast, Bianca's track is almost identical to Ned's .
Got me beat how you worked out that Ned in 1989 was after Vida in 1975, that is amazing .

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Follow Up By: member - mazcan - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:50

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:50
hi goug t
i have enjoyed your history items over the period of being a member on here but your sarcasm isn't required
and you have completly missed mthe point i was trying to make
enough said
cheers
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Follow Up By: member - mazcan - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:55

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:55
hi that was sincerley ment to be doug t
these keyboards have a habbit of shifting under the hand lol
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Follow Up By: Member - Phil 'n Jill (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 12:18

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 12:18
OOOOPss - Sorry about the double dip. Screen was still open when returned and figured msge hadn't gone. Ageing issue probly..... P
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Reply By: Gone Bush (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:44

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 10:44
Looking at the latest map showing Bianca's predicted path, Mandurah is a direct hit.

Fortunately they have also downgraded the windspeed so it, hopefully, will weaken considerably before getting here.

I'm glad I ain't too scared to be lazy
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Follow Up By: Motherhen - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:37

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 11:37
You'll be right GB - it won't be as bad as some of the winter storms you get there.

Mh
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Reply By: Member - John Baas (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 12:30

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 12:30
Yesterday we were just about to set up camp at 4PM at one of the DEC campsites at D'Entrecasteaux National Park when a DEC employee turns up and closes the campsite. Told us all their sites were being closed along the south coast and they were in the process of collecting walkers off the Bibbulmun Track.

We decided to bail out and flash back to Perth. What a bummer. We'd just had a great day 4WD'ing to the mouth of the Broke Inlet which was absolutely beautiful, and were looking forward to slowly working the coastal network towards Albany.

Not at all happy.
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Follow Up By: member - mazcan - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 12:54

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 12:54
hi john
govt panic stations cant beat 'em probably based on the fire threat more than the wet/wind
but now the cyclone is curving on its path and is now heading for mandurah instead of dawsville previously
and who knows by the time another 24 hrs goes by you might find it heading for rockingham or even perth?????? then you'll have to go back down to broke inlet to escape it--- lol
cheers
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Reply By: Member - Phil 'n Jill (WA) - Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 19:34

Saturday, Jan 29, 2011 at 19:34
Hey Matt - bit late now I spose for a 'heads up'?

While we were looking out over the coast, a whacking great storm just slipped down from above Geraldton and created a bit of havoc in odd places.

I just plugged the puter back in after the lightning flashing about the place.

Radio reports of part roofs missing in York, 20,000 homeswithout power by the sound of it round Perth - bucketed down for 20-30 mins and last seen heading for Bunbury at a rate of knots.

Saw the storm on Geraldton radar prior to lunch and went through here around 3 oclock - I reckon I would struggle to have kept pace with it coming down the Brand hwy.

Gone very quiet again now.

Only reason a bloke spotted it on the way, is because we are sitting at home cooling our heels awaiting an 'all clear' to head into the southwest.

Bearing in mind the track that Alby logged, looking very similar to Bianca's proposed line, we are thinking it is wise to hang around, even if it means contracting 'cabin fever'.

Hope no serious damage to fellow travellers from that lot.

Cheers - Phil
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Reply By: Member - Old Girl (QLD) - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 00:36

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 00:36
Hey over there,
I've been watching these cyclones over the last week on the following link. Good photos of York today.
Scroll down the page
Bit scary
Click on the link above the dust photo and see the storm cell above the dust.
Good luck over there. Can only hope your water storage fills up.
Stay safe.

AnswerID: 443496

Reply By: Member - William W (WA) - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 00:58

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 00:58
Hi All,

Here's the link to the York storm cell which whipped up a huge dust storm on the leading edge. We sat through it in the 4x4, bloody scary I tell ya.

http://i1130.photobucket.com/albums/m525/WillyWish/Picture796.jpg

Cheers,
Will.
AnswerID: 443499

Reply By: get outmore - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 04:53

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 04:53
absalutly nothing surer than this being a complete and utter fizzer

Ive been in perth for over 5 years and have seen 1 yes one 1/2 decent summer storm and even that was less than 1/2 strenth to a winter storm

even the predictied bad weather alert today was downgraded to utter fizzle

maybe got 5mm of rain and no wind
AnswerID: 443501

Follow Up By: Gone Bush (WA) - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 08:35

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 08:35
Five years !!

Well, you're the man......

Puts my 60 years in the shade.

I'm glad I ain't too scared to be lazy
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Follow Up By: Tonyfish#58 - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 09:26

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 09:26
5 years is not a lot :-) You have been unlucky, Perth is in a drought - In 75 We played Golf in this one

Vida, 20 March 1975 Winds, recorded to 128 km/h at Fremantle and 109 km/h in Perth damaged many properties including St George's Cathedral and Perry Lakes Stadium. At Rockingham a 7 m yacht sank, a 6m cabin cruiser was destroyed and many other craft were damaged.

Blew the roof off Cottesloe Golf Club

Cheers Tony
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Follow Up By: Member - Phil 'n Jill (WA) - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 09:37

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 09:37
Hey Getout - think yourself lucky, a lot of others aren't so fortunate.

Perth covers a fair area these days and 'storms' are fairly concentrated to smaller spots when it comes to real damage.

If you are into 'storm chasing' - the Pilbara & Kimberley are the place to be, but in reality a five year time span even up there might not be long enough for you, but they will hang around a bit longer for you to get a real taste test.

Regards - Phil
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Follow Up By: get outmore - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 09:39

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 09:39
no 5 years isnt alot which is part of my point most places inland of Perth would have had numerous decent summer storms, certainly had some good ones living in Kalgoorlie in fact January is statisticlly the wettest month on averadge there

summer storms ARE very rare in Perth which is why Perths averadge rainfall over the summer months is so low (under 10mm for January)
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Follow Up By: get outmore - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 17:20

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 17:20
5 years up there is more than enough

we were almost washed away by Cyclone George in 07 and that ws les than a year up there

havnt seen that much action in the Kimberly atm but still alot more Thunderstorms than ive ever seen in Perth

but im still yet to see anything like the cyclones and storms in the Goldfields between 98-2000 which saw every usually dry saltlake become a water ski park

although I did miss bobby in 95
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Follow Up By: get outmore - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 19:37

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 19:37
dont like to say told you so............ oh heck who am I kidding yea I do


this has turned out to be so much less than nothing like I aid
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Follow Up By: Gone Bush (WA) - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 20:06

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 20:06
Yes, you go ahead and make your decisions based on your 5 minutes, sorry, months, oops, sorry, years experience in WA.

I'm glad I ain't too scared to be lazy
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Follow Up By: get outmore - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 20:33

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 20:33
bit hard to argue with some thats right.............

there is in fact a good reason Perth gets so few summer storms let alone severe ones

they mostly brew up in the afternoon when energy created from the warm land is highest

this is the time the Doctor blows which keeps all the weather east of the scarp

and BTW been in WA alot longer than 5 years and worked around a fair bit of it

there is zero question Perths unique weather patterns reduce its summer storms to very occasional even rare ocorunces
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Reply By: ExplorOz - David & Michelle - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 21:48

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 21:48
YOu lot sound like you feel ripped off we didn't get a cyclone in Perth! LOL For me, I was happy we didn't - got to start (and finish) my first Olympic Distance triathlon in clear conditions, almost zero wind but oppressive humidity which caused a lot of DNFs in the final run leg. I just plodded along and thankfully finished.

MM
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AnswerID: 443579

Follow Up By: Tonyfish#58 - Monday, Jan 31, 2011 at 10:18

Monday, Jan 31, 2011 at 10:18
Its the rain you wanted not the wind :-) - Considering a Cat 1 would only be like a good winter storm, if it had brought rain it would have been good.

You can't live without water and I would say your levels must be critical

Cheers Tony
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Follow Up By: get outmore - Monday, Jan 31, 2011 at 14:38

Monday, Jan 31, 2011 at 14:38
not critical as perth uses 3 sources

dams
groundwater
desalination

dams are certainly down and if we dont get some big decent fronts over winter come next summer it wont look very god

last winter we got 1 decent front and that was it

very littlerunoff
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Reply By: get outmore - Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 23:50

Sunday, Jan 30, 2011 at 23:50
went kyayacing long he fresh water part of the canning, tide was up over the weir and the canning was flowing the wrong way with sat water
AnswerID: 443599

Reply By: landseka - Monday, Jan 31, 2011 at 09:27

Monday, Jan 31, 2011 at 09:27
Now what am I supposed to do with my 20,000 "I survived Bunbury's Bianca" T shirts. LOL
AnswerID: 443628

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