The U.S. Car Industry will collapse ???

Submitted: Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 12:52
ThreadID: 63651 Views:3343 Replies:5 FollowUps:24
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It appears that the US senate is not too keen on offering the big
3 carmakers a $25 Billion cash injection. The car makers say that without it they will be broke inside 3 months. The Govt says the $$ only equates to the next 3 months losses & the carmakers will then want more. How serious is this ?? The carmakers say 1 in 10
jobs is directly related to the industry & a failure of the big 3 will
result in a financial meltdown in the US with the usual related
trouble throughout the world. What happens to the Australian
industry?? Would GM Aust. be sold up if the US GM goes bank
rupt ??. If Aust carmakers need $3b as given by Rudd, then no way will $25b save the job in the US, Will it??.. Sales crashed 40%
in the US last month, so no doubt the big 3 are in dire straights.
Now, I cant answer any of those questions, but the case seems
bloody serious. I wouldnt spend one dollar on a new car till it sorts out. What do you make of it?.........oldbaz.
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Reply By: Robin Miller - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 13:21

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 13:21
Hi OldBaz

It is a difficult situation but I don't think it will be as bad
as it seems - then again I remember saying oil would come right back in price when many said it would never go back under $100.

If fact I was listening to an american expert on the radio 1/2 an hour ago saying that in fact bankrupcy is there best option.

Apparently GM has some 7000 dealerships they are legally bound to protect whereas Toyota has only 1500 to support.

If they are allowed to go bankrupt they can re-negoitaite these and all sorts of other things that are preventing them from make the quick changes of direction in production
that they need to make to become competitive.

Who knows, maybe they will take a good look at the cruiser now, and try and make something to seriously challenge it for a change.
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Follow Up By: OzTroopy - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 14:00

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 14:00
Hey Robin,

Totally agree that a levelling of the playing fields would be a good thing. I hope that design over practicality is but one of the issues that may be reversed in the restructuring.

Whilst Multi-National companies rule the roost though ... I wouldnt hold my breath waiting for improvements in lots of areas ... vehicles, fuel, food etc.

In regards to cruiser equivalents ... the yanks have always had Ford / GMC / and others, in 4x4 worktrucks. Jeep has always had a 6cyl swb offroader. The chevy sold here as a Suburban was about the only contender in the wagon style.

Its only in Aus that we are led to believe a cruiser is a huge workhorse vehicle. The power of advertising is an amazing thing over time. That and Landcruisers reputation from 50yrs ago, which is no longer applicable.

On a side note ..... Chrysler LLC has al ready started production of its J8 series JK wrangler.

An equivalent workhorse style vehicle to the tojo 70 series, designed for military, govt dept, etc., use. Whether or not this "new" Jeep is capable of holding its own against the competition, is not likely to be known firsthand in Australia.

Just as the Govt banned Jeep from building the XJ Wagon here in Australia back in the 80's ( preventing it adapting to our conditions ), this new model wont be allowed either .... for a variety of reasons but essentially those reasons, will again protect the poor, hard done by japanese manufacturer that spends more on advertising today, than on design for australian conditions - other than bitumen or well graded roads.
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Reply By: Member - John (Vic) - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 13:35

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 13:35
Let them utilise the U.S. Chapter 11 Bankruptcy provisions and undertake a restructure.
Thats exactly what these provisions are designed for.
No more hand outs to prop up $hit businesses.
Run it right or don't run it at all!!

U.S. airlines have been operating in and out of Chapter 11 for many years now each time they restructure and move forward.
U.S. airlines still don't make any money but thats another story :-)
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Follow Up By: Geoff M (QLD) - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 14:52

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 14:52
"..... No more hand outs to prop up $hit businesses.
Run it right or don't run it at all!!"

So why is Mr Rudd bailing out ABC Learning Centres with $22M of our money?
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Follow Up By: Member - Porl - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 14:58

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 14:58
he's not "bailing it out", it is already insolvent, he's just paying for the places to stay open so the parents have time to book in another, it's the same as paying increase childcare, but it has a cap it so it's not that bad.
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Follow Up By: Member - Royce- Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:02

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:02
I'm a bit of a pinko here. I reckon we should [govt] just buy them up at firesale prices and provide childcare at cost..... IMHO
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Follow Up By: OzTroopy - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:08

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:08
Good logic Royce ....

Shame our govts have a history of mismanagement worse than ABC tho ....
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Follow Up By: Member - Porl - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:09

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:09
I second that Royce.

Can't stand people profiting from gov subsidy, especially where kids are concerned, so if no-one can make a profit then they shouldn't and it should be government owned.
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Follow Up By: Geoff M (QLD) - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:10

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:10
Porl, "....he's just paying for the places to stay open so the parents have time to book in another,"

And that must be why the Gov is pleading with the parents to keep them in the centres and not to go elsewhere.

If it waddles like a duck and quacks like a duck ..........

Royce, and while they're (Govt) at it they could buy buy the oil companies for fuel at cost, the banks for loans at costs and on and on. Aren't there a couple of other countries that act on that principal?
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Follow Up By: Member - John (Vic) - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:20

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:20
Geoff a question to be directed at Mr Rudd me thinks??

Royce (Simplistically speaking) perhaps just consider that ABC was not covering its costs under the current private enterprise fee structure, how much will a "Government" run enterprise need to increase the fee over the current level just to cover the current operating costs and will parents be able to afford that "Government" run at cost enterprise??

Parents are leaving as they need to have security of child placements next year and currently there is no suggestion that ABC will be able to provide that in 2009.
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Follow Up By: Member - Royce- Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:33

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:33
A "Government" run enterprise will increase fees to whatever level they decide subsidised by us taxpayers... same as schools and preschools, and hospitals, police, ambulance etc.
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Follow Up By: Member - Royce- Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:34

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:34
Nice... petrol at cost, banks controlled...... I like the idea... pink turns to RED!
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Follow Up By: Member - Royce- Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:36

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:36
Government mismanagement worse than ABC? Not historically so. The mismanagement makes news. All the well run govt and semi govt enterprises just keep on going underpinning our social structure without much notice.
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Follow Up By: Member - Porl - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:46

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:46
I know, continuing off topic but ... it wasn't that ABC wasn't covering it's domestic costs, it could have, just like all the others, it just wasn't able to fund it's expansionist policies to take over the world, well the US anyhow.
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Follow Up By: Member - John (Vic) - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:57

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:57
40% of ABC Australian child care centre's were not covering there costs at the operating level.
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Follow Up By: Member - Porl - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:59

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:59
yeah okay, they were idiots.
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Follow Up By: Flywest - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 18:31

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 18:31
I would worry about Govt running chidcare.

They can't run much anything else - what with all the govt do gooders - we would have paedophiles running the childcare centers wirthin weeks - probably as part of their parole conditions :rollseyes:

Lets leave the govt out of it and not deliberately make it any worse than it already is! The kiddies already have it tough enough.

Cheers
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Follow Up By: Member - Royce- Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 18:54

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 18:54
I always feel sad when 'the government' is slammed and put down with claims that they 'can't run anything else' kind of statements.

They do run most things well. They are just like any large corporation or business. Run by people with faults and a range of abilities. I guess though, you can't argue with people who think otherwise.

I know I am always looking at roads and thinking that it's blindingly obvious what's needed and not being done... but then I don't give credit for the massive works that ARE done. It's always the same.... easy to knock. Sometimes by people who don't even bother to think before they vote.... ????
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Follow Up By: Best Off Road - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 20:49

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 20:49
ABC Child Centres went belly up because they expanded into the USA and spent money on over valued properties.

Cost them $1 Billion. That is to say One Thousand Million Dollars.

I heard about it listening to "PM" driving home last night.

Oh for "Our ABC", quality, informative news coverage.

Jim.



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Follow Up By: olddigger - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 21:50

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 21:50
Wouldn't it be easier if all child care centres closed and the parents had to stay home and look after their brats? If you can't look after 'em, don't have them. Simple, really.
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Follow Up By: Middle Jeff - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 22:11

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 22:11
Funny that most child care centres in this country are doing just fine, but they are run by councils, state or even a few federal ones, so maybe they can run something.

Have fun

Craig
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Follow Up By: Off-track - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 22:26

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 22:26
The wider and more alarming national economic problem for the collapse of ABC is that if parents cannot find childcare they will have to quit their job. Many families rely on dual incomes to pay their mortgages and other debt and if they cannot do so this will exacerbate the current economic crisis.

It's not ABC the company that they are worried about, it's the service it provides.
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Reply By: swampy66 - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:43

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 15:43
Ford and GM made it throught the Great Depression - obviously to still be around today.

Ford halved wages. I guess half a wage is better than no wage at all.






AnswerID: 336055

Reply By: Ianw - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 20:38

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 20:38
Funny how the founder/owner of ABC childcare was named among the richest under 25s couple of years ago! We can now see why!! He's got the money, the business can go to hell. He dont care!!!

ian
AnswerID: 336123

Follow Up By: Member - John (Vic) - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 20:52

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 20:52
Eddie Groves ain't got no money left, margin calls wiped it all out.

And now his ex wife is busy picking over the ruins.

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Follow Up By: Ianw - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 21:18

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 21:18
Too big, too quick. They always over do it, and end up broke!!

(On paper at least!!)

Ian
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Follow Up By: Member- Tony C - Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 21:38

Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 21:38
Yes Ian I agree.ABC fell to the simplest business trap of all ,to big to quick and greed.
To go from being such a successful company to complete failure is a huge disappointment especially to its share holders.
Cheers.
Tony
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Follow Up By: Member - Nobby - Thursday, Nov 20, 2008 at 09:39

Thursday, Nov 20, 2008 at 09:39
How come young Eddy purchased a $1.5Mill unit two weeks ago at Kangaroo Point in Bris if he is that brike??
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Reply By: Member - Paul Mac (VIC) - Friday, Nov 21, 2008 at 08:18

Friday, Nov 21, 2008 at 08:18
I just watched a snippet of the senate enquiry on the US motor industry and one senator asked the 3 executives whether they would be prepared to sell their private jets if the gov't bailed them. Not one said they would. How serious are these executives or are they just putting their hands out for some easy money?
Greed.....the more you have the more you want !

On the ABC learning centres I know how they operated and I can tell you they were destined to go under. They not only spent up big in the US, they also paid over the top for properties here in Australia. Their lease and buy out arrangements for properties here were some of the most generous I have ever seen in my lifetime.

On a good note I see oil fell to around $46 a barrel overnight. That should see petrol prices fall below $1 a litre within the next week or so.......right ????? :-))

Cheers
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