Thursday, Mar 19, 2009 at 14:14
OzTroopy, you said “Every year there are more cars and more drivers .... Statistically - It has to increase.”
Wrong! Numerically it has to increase, statistically (taken as a ratio of cars on the road, number of drivers or Km travelled depending on your measurement) it may increase or decrease
Since Victoria introduced
seat belt laws, numerically causalities in Australia have decreased, and as a ratio of cars on the road, drivers and of Kilometres travelled it has also statistically decreased
Conversations like this on bulletin Boards always bring out the some interesting comments!
Statistically, the distribution of skills, knowledge, ability etc across a large
population follows a normal distribution curve
By definition the average person sits mid way within the range of driving skills (ie half way within better than Fangio to injuring themselves with a Dinky toy on the lounge room floor)
By definition half the drivers on the road are below average; or if you want to look back to the standard deviation curve again, 86% of drivers are average or below average drivers.
Unfortunately, laws governing actions in our society are based on the lowest common denominator. Hence, our road laws are based on the ability of a below average driver.
So, stop to think about it; 86% of persons inhabiting this
forum are average or below average drivers for this
forum (I’d suggest that the curve for this
forum would be skewed a little bit higher than the average
population because of the average age of the
forum)
About 6 years ago there was a small paragraph in the newspaper to the affect that University Of WA(?) had conducted a study whereby 75% of people thought they were above average drivers
This means that there are a huge percentage of people out on the road that do not have an accurate assessment of their driving abilities
The obvious answer to this problem is put into place better and more intrusive standards to both obtain and retain your licence. Without going through real time monitoring of the driver (such as a black box hooked up to EMU and a GPS), the only other option is random sampling of the drivers skills. Speed cameras do that. They tell the
police how much attention the driver is paying to the environment in which they are driving, and how much attention they are paying to the control of their car
By what standard do you
test your own driving?
You said: “There is no such thing as speeding ..... Its either dangerous driving ... or its not !!!!!! “
If you are speeding through a sign posted area you are not paying attention to the speed of your car, nor are you paying attention to the environment around you. How does that differ from dangerous driving?
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